Radcliffevs
Scarborough Athletic
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Scarborough Athletic · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Radcliffe 4-1 Scarborough Athletic
Original prediction
Scarborough Athletic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 31.4% | 17.6% | -13.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.5% | 21.5% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 42.1% | 60.9% | 18.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Scarborough Athletic
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
60.9%
Scarborough Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00