Radcliffevs
Oxford City
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oxford City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 0-2 (14%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Radcliffe 0-3 Oxford City
Original prediction
Oxford City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.98 | 30.4% | 18.7% | -11.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.8% | 22.9% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.07 | 43.8% | 58.5% | 14.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.0–214%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Oxford City
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
Oxford City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00