Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Morecambe · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Radcliffe are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Morecambe are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and morecambe hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the National League - North, favouring Morecambe with 14.0% confidence, a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Morecambe
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
14.0%
Morecambe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20