GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/15/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Radcliffe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Radcliffe are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lancaster City are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Radcliffe hold a 27.4-point power-rating edge (70.1 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.3% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Radcliffe holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Radcliffe

Probability

69.3%

Model confidence

69.3%

Radcliffe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RadcliffeWWWWD

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lancaster CityWWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
RadcliffeLancaster City
87.8Attack33.3
51.2Defence33.3
73.2Form50.0
70.1Power42.7
2.92xG1.14
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