Radcliffevs
Darlington 1883
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Darlington 1883 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Radcliffe 0-1 Darlington 1883
Original prediction
Darlington 1883
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 37.0% | 36.3% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.0% | 25.6% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 37.1% | 38.1% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Darlington 1883
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Darlington 1883 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20