Racing Unitedvs
Waterhouse
COMPLETEDJamaica · Premier League · 10/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Waterhouse · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing United 0-0 Waterhouse
Original prediction
Waterhouse
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 09:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.95 | 30.6% | 35.2% | 4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.3% | 26.3% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 40.1% | 38.5% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Waterhouse
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Waterhouse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40