Racing Unitedvs
Montego Bay United
COMPLETEDJamaica · Premier League · 9/27/2026, 10:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montego Bay United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing United 0-1 Montego Bay United
Original prediction
Montego Bay United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.03 | 29.8% | 28.3% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.9% | 29.0% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 41.3% | 42.7% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
Montego Bay United
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Montego Bay United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80