Racing Unitedvs
Arnett Gardens
COMPLETEDJamaica · Premier League · 9/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing United 3-2 Arnett Gardens
Original prediction
Racing United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 38.5% | 38.4% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.3% | 28.7% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 32.3% | 32.9% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Racing United
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Racing United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.75/2.00