Racing Santandervs
Valencia
COMPLETEDSpain · La Liga · 10/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing Santander · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing Santander 2-2 Valencia
Original prediction
Racing Santander
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 42.5% | 49.1% | 6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 27.3% | 24.0% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 30.3% | 26.9% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Racing Santander
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Racing Santander has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 18 · avg 1.80/3.60
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40