Racing Santandervs
Espanyol
COMPLETEDSpain · La Liga · 10/24/2026, 2:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Espanyol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing Santander 2-1 Espanyol
Original prediction
Espanyol
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 41.3% | 33.6% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 26.4% | 25.4% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 32.3% | 41.0% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Espanyol
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Espanyol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 17 · avg 1.20/3.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40