Racing Santandervs
Elche
COMPLETEDSpain · La Liga · 8/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing Santander · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing Santander 3-2 Elche
Original prediction
Racing Santander
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 45.9% | 44.2% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 27.2% | 27.4% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.53 | 27.0% | 28.5% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Racing Santander
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Racing Santander has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00