GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División · 8/12/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eibar · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Racing Santander are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Eibar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Eibar hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (53.7 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the Segunda División, while Eibar holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eibar

Probability

36.0%

Model confidence

36.0%

Eibar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing SantanderWDWDL

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
EibarDDWLW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Racing SantanderEibar
50.0Attack54.5
56.3Defence62.1
50.8Form54.5
53.7Power57.5
1.20xG1.31
View match centre →