Racing Santander IIvs
Eibar II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/3/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eibar II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing Santander II 1-5 Eibar II
Original prediction
Eibar II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.85 | 31.4% | 33.8% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 28.9% | 28.1% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 39.7% | 38.1% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Eibar II
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Eibar II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80