Racing Santander IIvs
Amorebieta
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/20/2026, 2:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing Santander II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing Santander II 0-2 Amorebieta
Original prediction
Racing Santander II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 38.8% | 42.0% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.7% | 27.6% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 32.5% | 30.3% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Racing Santander II
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Racing Santander II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00