GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/5/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Racing Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Racing Montevideo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Wanderers are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 23.7 against 23.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Racing Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Racing Montevideo

Probability

36.3%

Model confidence

36.3%

Racing Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing MontevideoWLLDL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
WanderersLDLDW

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Racing MontevideoWanderers
0.0Attack0.0
66.7Defence66.7
0.0Form0.0
23.7Power23.7
1.18xG1.00
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