Racing MontevideovsNacional Asuncion

Racing Montevideo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Nacional Asuncion are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Nacional Asuncion hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.