Racing Montevideovs
Juventud
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 4/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Racing Montevideo are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Juventud are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Montevideo hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 43.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the Primera División, while Racing Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Racing Montevideo
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Racing Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00