GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/8/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Racing Montevideo are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Huracan are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Huracan hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

35.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing MontevideoDDLLD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
HuracanLLDDW

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Racing MontevideoHuracan
0.0Attack38.9
66.7Defence55.6
0.0Form27.8
23.7Power41.6
1.14xG1.03
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