GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/23/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Racing Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Racing Montevideo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Huachipato are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Huachipato hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 26.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Racing Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Racing Montevideo

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Racing Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing MontevideoLWDLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
HuachipatoDLLLW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Racing MontevideoHuachipato
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence8.3
0.0Form25.0
23.7Power26.1
1.48xG0.97
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