Racing Montevideovs
Corinthians
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/15/2025, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Racing Montevideo are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Corinthians are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Corinthians hold a 33.6-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80