GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/3/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Racing Montevideo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Corinthians are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Corinthians hold a 33.6-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing MontevideoWLLWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CorinthiansWWWLW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Racing MontevideoCorinthians
0.0Attack29.2
66.7Defence75.0
0.0Form58.3
23.7Power57.3
0.71xG0.85
View match centre →