Racing MontevideovsCerro Largo

Racing Montevideo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cerro Largo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Montevideo hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Racing Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.