GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 2/19/2023, 12:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Racing Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Racing Montevideo are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DLD), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.00 conceded, while CA River Plate are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Montevideo hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 47.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the Primera División, while Racing Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Racing Montevideo

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

46.6%

Racing Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing MontevideoDLD

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.33/1.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 0/3
CA River PlateWLLDD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Racing MontevideoCA River Plate
42.0Attack33.3
72.5Defence60.6
60.9Form43.9
60.6Power47.7
1.10xG0.48
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