GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 2/4/2023, 12:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Racing Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Racing Montevideo are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Boston River are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (WLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Montevideo hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the Primera División, while Racing Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Racing Montevideo

Probability

52.6%

Model confidence

52.6%

Racing Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing MontevideoD

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Boston RiverWLDD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.75

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
Racing MontevideoBoston River
42.0Attack29.2
72.5Defence56.9
60.9Form36.1
60.6Power42.7
1.23xG0.42
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