GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 5/3/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Racing Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Racing Montevideo are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atletico Torque are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Montevideo hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 55.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Primera División, while Racing Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Racing Montevideo

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

40.5%

Racing Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing MontevideoWDWWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico TorqueLWDWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Racing MontevideoAtletico Torque
42.0Attack50.0
72.5Defence59.1
60.9Form53.0
60.6Power55.5
1.12xG0.74
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