Racing Montevideovs
Argentinos JRS
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/7/2024, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing Montevideo · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Racing Montevideo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Argentinos JRS are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Argentinos JRS hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Racing Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Racing Montevideo
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Racing Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40