GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/3/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Racing Montevideo are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while America de Cali are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and America de Cali hold a 34.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

38.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing MontevideoWWWLW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
America de CaliWWDWL

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Racing MontevideoAmerica de Cali
0.0Attack38.1
66.7Defence71.4
0.0Form57.1
23.7Power57.9
0.81xG1.05
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