GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 3/21/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Washington Spirit W · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Racing Louisville W are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Washington Spirit W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Washington Spirit W hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 62.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the NWSL Women, while Washington Spirit W holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Washington Spirit W

Probability

62.8%

Model confidence

12.4%

Washington Spirit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing Louisville WLDWDD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Washington Spirit WLLWDL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Racing Louisville WWashington Spirit W
44.4Attack50.9
35.2Defence70.2
31.5Form63.2
39.2Power62.9
0.79xG1.94
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