Racing Louisville Wvs
Utah Royals W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 10/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Utah Royals W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing Louisville W 1-1 Utah Royals W
Original prediction
Utah Royals W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.00 | 30.0% | 24.3% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.0% | 21.9% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 46.0% | 53.9% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Utah Royals W
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Utah Royals W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40