GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 8/19/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Seattle Reign FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Racing Louisville W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Seattle Reign FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Seattle Reign FC hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the NWSL Women, while Seattle Reign FC holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Seattle Reign FC

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

13.3%

Seattle Reign FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing Louisville WWWLWD

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Seattle Reign FCDWWLW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Racing Louisville WSeattle Reign FC
44.4Attack41.7
35.2Defence56.3
31.5Form47.9
39.2Power50.3
1.21xG1.53
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