Racing Louisville Wvs
San Diego Wave W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 9/25/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Diego Wave W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing Louisville W 0-2 San Diego Wave W
Original prediction
San Diego Wave W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.85 | 23.3% | 21.4% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.2% | 22.2% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 1.70 | 52.6% | 56.4% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
San Diego Wave W
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
56.4%
San Diego Wave W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20