GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 5/8/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portland Thorns W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Racing Louisville W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Portland Thorns W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Thorns W hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the NWSL Women, while Portland Thorns W holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portland Thorns W

Probability

53.1%

Model confidence

10.2%

Portland Thorns W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing Louisville WLLWLL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Portland Thorns WWWWDW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Racing Louisville WPortland Thorns W
44.4Attack56.1
35.2Defence50.9
31.5Form54.4
39.2Power54.6
1.34xG2.09
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