Racing Louisville Wvs
Portland Thorns W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 5/8/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Thorns W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Racing Louisville W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Portland Thorns W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Thorns W hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the NWSL Women, while Portland Thorns W holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portland Thorns W
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
10.2%
Portland Thorns W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60