GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 8/19/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

OL Reign W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Racing Louisville W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Seattle Reign FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Seattle Reign FC hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the NWSL Women, while Seattle Reign FC holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

OL Reign W

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

37.3%

OL Reign W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing Louisville WWWWLW

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
OL Reign WWDWWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Racing Louisville WOL Reign W
44.4Attack42.6
35.2Defence57.4
31.5Form50.0
39.2Power51.8
1.17xG1.57
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