GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 5/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

North Carolina Courage W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Racing Louisville W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while North Carolina Courage W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and North Carolina Courage W hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 55.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the NWSL Women, while North Carolina Courage W holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

North Carolina Courage W

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

North Carolina Courage W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing Louisville WLWLLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
North Carolina Courage WWLLDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Racing Louisville WNorth Carolina Courage W
44.4Attack59.3
35.2Defence51.9
31.5Form55.6
39.2Power55.8
1.30xG2.21
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