Racing Louisville Wvs
NJ/NY Gotham FC W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 9/11/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NJ/NY Gotham FC W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing Louisville W 1-2 NJ/NY Gotham FC W
Original prediction
NJ/NY Gotham FC W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.35 | 20.7% | 26.0% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.5% | 28.1% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 1.61 | 55.8% | 45.9% | -9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
NJ/NY Gotham FC W
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
NJ/NY Gotham FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00