GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 8/15/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Boston Legacy W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Racing Louisville W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Boston Legacy W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Boston Legacy W hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the NWSL Women, while Boston Legacy W holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Boston Legacy W

Probability

35.7%

Model confidence

14.1%

Boston Legacy W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing Louisville WWWLWD

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Boston Legacy WLDWLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Racing Louisville WBoston Legacy W
44.4Attack35.2
35.2Defence55.6
31.5Form37.0
39.2Power45.1
1.25xG1.27
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