GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 7/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Racing Louisville W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Racing Louisville W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Bay FC W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bay FC W hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.3% in the NWSL Women, while Racing Louisville W holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Racing Louisville W

Probability

34.3%

Model confidence

34.3%

Racing Louisville W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing Louisville WLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Bay FC WDLLLD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Racing Louisville WBay FC W
44.4Attack35.1
35.2Defence52.6
31.5Form33.3
39.2Power42.1
1.34xG1.25
View match centre →