Racing Louisville Wvs
Angel City W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 9/5/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Angel City W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing Louisville W 0-2 Angel City W
Original prediction
Angel City W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.05 | 29.4% | 29.9% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.0% | 27.7% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.97 | 45.6% | 42.4% | -3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Angel City W
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Angel City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40