Racing Ferrolvs
Unionistas de Salamanca
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing Ferrol · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing Ferrol 1-0 Unionistas de Salamanca
Original prediction
Racing Ferrol
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 52.3% | 53.5% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.7% | 25.4% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.35 | 21.0% | 21.1% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Racing Ferrol
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Racing Ferrol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20