Racing Ferrolvs
Pontevedra
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/3/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pontevedra · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Racing Ferrol 0-0 Pontevedra, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing Ferrol 2-0 Pontevedra
Original prediction
Pontevedra
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 47.2% | 32.1% | -15.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.5% | 30.6% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.77 | 24.3% | 37.4% | 13.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.0 pts
Projected Score
Racing Ferrol 0–0 Pontevedra
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Pontevedra
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Pontevedra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20