GGOALVIO

Luxembourg · National Division · 8/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Racing FC Union Luxembourg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Racing FC Union Luxembourg 2-2 Victoria Rosport

Original prediction

Racing FC Union Luxembourg

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5259.9%59.9%0.1 pts
Draw4.6119.7%20.2%0.5 pts
Away4.4420.4%19.9%-0.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.61 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–19%
  2. 2.3–19%
  3. 3.2–08%

Predicted outcome

Racing FC Union Luxembourg

Probability

59.9%

Model confidence

59.9%

Racing FC Union Luxembourg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing FC Union LuxembourgLWWWD

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Victoria RosportWLLLD

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Racing FC Union LuxembourgVictoria Rosport
91.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence16.7
75.0Form25.0
73.4Power35.1
2.88xG1.21
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