Luxembourg · National Division · 10/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing FC Union Luxembourg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing FC Union Luxembourg 6-0 US Mondorf-les-bains
Original prediction
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 39.1% | 50.0% | 10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.5% | 21.0% | -5.5 pts |
| Away | 2.64 | 34.4% | 29.0% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Racing FC Union Luxembourg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 18 · GA 7 · avg 3.60/1.40