Racing FC Union Luxembourgvs
Atert Bissen
COMPLETEDLuxembourg · National Division · 10/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing FC Union Luxembourg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing FC Union Luxembourg 2-2 Atert Bissen
Original prediction
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 38.3% | 52.3% | 14.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.6% | 21.3% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 36.1% | 26.3% | -9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.55 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Racing FC Union Luxembourg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60