Racing FC Union Luxembourgvs
AS Jeunesse Esch
COMPLETEDLuxembourg · National Division · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing FC Union Luxembourg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing FC Union Luxembourg 5-1 AS Jeunesse Esch
Original prediction
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 57.9% | 60.1% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.8% | 20.1% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 4.67 | 19.3% | 19.8% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Probability
60.1%
Model confidence
60.1%
Racing FC Union Luxembourg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80