Racing de Veracruzvs
Celaya
COMPLETEDMexico · Primera Premier · 10/10/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing de Veracruz · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing de Veracruz 2-1 Celaya
Original prediction
Racing de Veracruz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 18:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.5% | 45.0% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.4% | 27.2% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.49 | 26.1% | 27.8% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Racing de Veracruz
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Racing de Veracruz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00