Racing Cordobavs
Deportivo Moron
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Moron · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Racing Cordoba 0-1 Deportivo Moron, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing Cordoba 1-2 Deportivo Moron
Original prediction
Deportivo Moron
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 36.6% | 22.7% | -13.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.74 | 33.5% | 29.5% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 30.0% | 47.8% | 17.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.9 pts
Projected Score
Racing Cordoba 0–1 Deportivo Moron
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Moron
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Deportivo Moron has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80