Racing Club Warwickvs
Halesowen Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/20/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Halesowen Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing Club Warwick 5-1 Halesowen Town
Original prediction
Halesowen Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.03 | 29.5% | 31.3% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.4% | 28.1% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 44.1% | 40.7% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Halesowen Town
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Halesowen Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20