GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/29/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Racing Club · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Racing Club are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sportivo Luqueno are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Club hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 31.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Racing Club holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Racing Club

Probability

60.0%

Model confidence

60.0%

Racing Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing ClubWWWDL

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Sportivo LuquenoLDLLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Racing ClubSportivo Luqueno
61.1Attack19.0
50.0Defence47.6
44.4Form19.0
53.1Power31.9
1.86xG0.74
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