Racing Clubvs
Sarmiento Junin
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 9/19/2026, 12:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing Club · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Racing Club 0-0 Sarmiento Junin, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing Club 3-1 Sarmiento Junin
Original prediction
Racing Club
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 52.9% | 41.2% | -11.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 27.1% | 29.3% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 4.70 | 20.0% | 29.5% | 9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.7 pts
Projected Score
Racing Club 0–0 Sarmiento Junin
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Racing Club
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Racing Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00