GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 4/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Racing Club are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while River Plate are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and River Plate hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (49.3 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.4% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

26.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing ClubWLWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
River PlateDWWWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Racing ClubRiver Plate
34.8Attack38.9
65.2Defence72.2
42.4Form50.0
49.3Power54.7
0.62xG0.76
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